Download Citation on ResearchGate | On Jan 1, , Armand Rioust de Largentaye and others published Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Le Cygne. Le Cygne noir has ratings and reviews. by. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Goodreads Author), (less). flag ยท See all 6 questions about Le Cygne noir. Le cygne noir (Nassim Nicholas Taleb). 3 likes. Book.

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Here’s an extrapolation from the book.

Quote needing correction of typos 2 18 Aug 16, He name-drops heavily, and sometimes seems pretty full of himself The book is quite enlightening in terms of conveying message as to how the world works.

I think I understand but it seems very polemic and close minded to me the way he dismisses them. He hates the bell curve for massively misrepresenting real risk potentials. He clearly wants this book to be considered scholarly as he has 19 pages of notes and a 28 page bibliography designed to demonstrate the depth of his own reading.

His scathing critiques on statistics and Nobel Prize winning economists are important and fundamentally correct if not polite or politically correct.

Amazon Second Chance Pass it on, trade it in, give it a second life. To jest intelektualny gigant.


Signore, professore dottore Eco, what a library you have! I’m not saying this book is enough to get a full picture about black swans, in fact the picture is very much still murky; but this book does let you know that reality is not as mediocre as it seems. Pourquoi ne devrait-on jamais lire un journal ni courir pour attraper un train?

You will accumulate more knowledge and more books as you grow older, and the growing number of unread books on the shelves will look at you menancingly. Taleb writes as if the only thing worse than him not getting adequate attention for his ideas is watching others get lauded. Evidence and Probability before Pascal Bacaan lanjutan dari nota kaki: Page 1 of 1 Start over Page 1 of 1.

Le Cygne noir by Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Apple Books

Someone on my blog said that I ought to read this book, which for some reason I had on my shelves, but had not read. Amazon Inspire Digital Educational Resources. I’m not sure every example in the book accurately supports the idea, but there is abundant proof that we constantly “close the barn doors after the horse has nolr when it comes to national security, health scares, natural disasters, etc.

He convincingly reveals a sound foundation tleb a structure of thought that for me has been mostly a mist shrouded vision, perhaps even disconnected structures. An anti-academic academic weaves a non-narrative narrative about predicting the unpredictable into the theory that rigid theories are bad.


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Open Preview See a Problem? Taleb argues that history, a We don’t know what we don’t know. Keeping the mind open helps in combating the distortion of reality which human mind is master at creating. But above all, you might obtain a new perspective on the world. Account Options Sign in. Amazon Renewed Refurbished products with a warranty.

Le Cygne noir

Is any of the readers applying anything from the book to decision making in their lives? Taleb’s book, Fooled by Randomness, was translated into 23 languages. I have always considered myself a skeptic, but after this book, I’m starting to think that I’m a delusional sucker.

He’s almost certainly right that we over-apply the “bell curve” and other normalized frequency distributions, with the consequence of underestimating the probability of very rare events.

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